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Slide 23 of 31
The conditional probability of leaving the raceme is almost the same as the 55% probability of leaving the plant. Iím not sure if that is a coincidence or not, but it suggests that we can explain the observed pattern of number of flowers visited per raceme with a simple movement rule: Move off the raceme or the plant 55-57% of the time and stay 43-45% of the time. Using this movement rule, we get a distribution of flowers visited per raceme that is very close to the observed distribution.